Former President Trump has opened up a large lead within the presidential race in Florida and Texas one month out from Election Day, a New York Occasions ballot revealed Tuesday confirmed.
The survey, carried out by the Occasions and Siena School, discovered Trump main in his house state of Florida by 13 share factors over Vice President Harris. The previous president can also be forward of Harris by 6 share factors in Texas.
The findings could deal a blow to the concept amongst some Democrats that the keenness behind Harris’s marketing campaign since she changed President Biden atop the ticket in July might put states like Florida and Texas in play.
Florida was beforehand thought of a battleground state, however Trump gained it in 2016 and in 2020 and it has trended extra Republican in recent times. Texas has not gone for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1976.
The identical ballot confirmed Harris with a 3-percentage level lead over Trump nationally.
The Hill/Determination Desk HQ’s (DDHQ) polling index reveals the GOP nominee forward by 2.7 factors — 49.7 % to Harris’s 46.9 % — within the Sunshine State. In Texas, Trump has a virtually 6-point lead, garnering 51.6 % help to the vp’s 45.9 %.
Each Florida and Texas have Senate races on the poll in November as properly, and polling has proven these races tightening within the last weeks of the marketing campaign.
The Hill/DDHQ common of polls within the Texas Senate race reveals Sen. Ted Cruz (R) main challenger Colin Allred by simply over 3 factors — 48.1 % to 45 %. In Florida, a mean of polls within the Senate race reveals Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.) main challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell by 2.7 factors — 45.7 % to 43 %.
The Occasions/Siena ballot was carried out from Sept. 29 to Oct. 6 amongst 3,385 voters, together with 622 voters in Florida and 617 voters in Texas. The margin of error for the total pattern is 2.4 share factors.